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Table 3 Characteristics of included trials

From: The progression rate of peripheral arterial disease in patients with intermittent claudication: a systematic review

Publications

Trial characteristics

Haemodynamic measure

Progression of PAD

Prognostic factors for progression of PAD

Smith et al. 1998 [29]

Prospective observational cohort study

235 participants with IC

3 year follow-up

ABPI

ABPI decreased by > 0.14 after 1 year in 21% of participants, 12.5% developed CLI after 3 years

Hypertriglycerideamia, ABPI < 0.5 at baseline is associated with increased risk of deterioration

Smith et al. 2003 [28]

Prospective observational cohort study

131 participants with IC

5 and 12 year follow-up

ABPI

Overall decrease in ABI by 0.09 over 5 yrs. in higher ABPI limb.

Decrease in ABPI by 0.04 in lower ABPI limb

Higher ABI associated with faster deterioration

Lower ABI associated with increased risk of lower limb events

Walsh et al. 1991 [21]

Prospective observational cohort study

38 participants (45 limbs) with IC and SFA stenosis

3 year follow-up

Arteriograms, and duplex scans

15.6% of participants developed a 30% increase in stenosis after 1 year.

Smoking and symptom progression predictive of SFA stenosis progression. SFA occlusion is synchronous with symptom progression. Contralateral SFA occlusion increases risk of faster stenosis

Bird et al. 1999 [26]

Prospective observational cohort study

177 participants with IC

4.7 year follow-up

ABPI, San Diego Claudication questionnaire

Overall ABI decrease of 0.02 over 4.6 yrs. and TBPI decrease by 0.013 in 4.7 years

Age, DM are associated with rapid progression

Aquino et al. 2001 [24]

Prospective observational cohort study

1244 male veterans with IC

3.7 year follow-up

ABPI

Overall yearly decline in ABPI by 0.014

ABPI < 0.5, high smoking pack years and DM increase risk CLI

Naschitz et al. 1988 [27]

Retrospective cohort study

460 participants with IC referred for vascular surgical consultation

3.8 year follow-up

ABPI, Doppler waveforms, angiography

Decrease by 0.15 in ABPI in those who deteriorate (53.2% of participants)

ABI > 0.7, no deterioration of ABI predicts good outcome ABI < 0.5 at baseline increases risk of deterioration by 3.8 times

ABI decrease by 0.15 increases risk by 1.9 times for need eventual surgery

Fowkes et al. 1993 [25]

Prospective observational cohort study

617 participants with IC

1 year follow-up

ABPI

Overall ABPI decrease by -- 0.01 per year

4.8% developed CLI, no haemodynamic report

Age, smoking associated with deterioration in ABPI

Whyman et al. 1993 [30]

Prospective observational cohort study

38 participants with IC with femoropopliteal artery stenosis

19 months

Duplex scan (Bollinger score)

Patients with velocity ratio > 3 progressed to occlusion within 13 weeks

Velocity ratio of > 3 associated with occlusion within 76 weeks.